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Saturday 25 August 2018, 21:30 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
73% 20% 7%
Home win
72.6%
Draw
20.1%
Away win
7.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 72.6% 1.38
Draw 20.1% 4.98
PAS Giannina 7.3% 13.74

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.5% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.5% 10.47
Over 1.5 69.7% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.3% 3.30
Over 2.5 43.1% 2.32
Under 2.5 56.9% 1.76
Over 3.5 22.1% 4.52
Under 3.5 77.9% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.6% 10.42
Under 4.5 90.4% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 32.0% 3.13
No 68.0% 1.47

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 92.7% 1.08
AEK Athens FC / PAS Giannina 79.9% 1.25
Draw / PAS Giannina 27.4% 3.66

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.5
3.7
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
17.1
8.5
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
17.1
7.8
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
11.1
5.1
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
5.4
2.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
2.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.