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Wednesday 4 April 2018, 19:30 Stadio Zosimades (Ioannina) Full time
57% 26% 16%
Home win
57.5%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
16.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina 57.5% 1.74
Draw 26.4% 3.78
Apollon Smirnis 16.1% 6.21

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.3% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.7% 9.34
Over 1.5 67.6% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.4% 3.09
Over 2.5 40.4% 2.48
Under 2.5 59.6% 1.68
Over 3.5 20.1% 4.98
Under 3.5 79.9% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.4% 11.94
Under 4.5 91.6% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.3% 2.42
No 58.7% 1.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina / Draw 83.9% 1.19
PAS Giannina / Apollon Smirnis 73.6% 1.36
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 42.5% 2.35

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.7
6.5
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
15.2
12.1
4.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.6
9.0
3.2
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
6.6
4.8
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.6
1.9
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.8
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAS Giannina goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.