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Saturday 26 January 2019, 17:15 Zosimades National Stadium Full time
55% 29% 16%
Home win
55.5%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
15.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina 55.5% 1.80
Draw 29.0% 3.45
Apollon Smirnis 15.5% 6.43

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.8% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.2% 7.06
Over 1.5 60.2% 1.66
Under 1.5 39.8% 2.51
Over 2.5 32.4% 3.08
Under 2.5 67.6% 1.48
Over 3.5 14.4% 6.97
Under 3.5 85.6% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.3% 18.87
Under 4.5 94.7% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.0% 2.86
No 65.0% 1.54

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina / Draw 84.5% 1.18
PAS Giannina / Apollon Smirnis 71.0% 1.41
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 44.5% 2.25

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.2
7.5
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
18.1
12.1
3.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.1
8.0
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
6.1
3.7
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
2.1
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAS Giannina goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.