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Saturday 15 September 2018, 19:00 Georgios Kamaras Stadium Full time
40% 32% 28%
Home win
39.5%
Draw
32.4%
Away win
28.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis 39.5% 2.53
Draw 32.4% 3.08
PAS Giannina 28.0% 3.57

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.3% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.7% 6.81
Over 1.5 59.5% 1.68
Under 1.5 40.5% 2.47
Over 2.5 31.6% 3.16
Under 2.5 68.4% 1.46
Over 3.5 13.8% 7.23
Under 3.5 86.2% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.0% 19.85
Under 4.5 95.0% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.7% 2.52
No 60.3% 1.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis / Draw 72.0% 1.39
Apollon Smirnis / PAS Giannina 67.6% 1.48
Draw / PAS Giannina 60.5% 1.65

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.7
11.4
5.3
1.6
0.3
0.1
1
14.4
14.2
5.9
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
8.4
7.3
3.2
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
3.1
2.7
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Apollon Smirnis goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.