Sunday 29 April 2018, 19:00
Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis (Tripoli)
Full time
57%
27%
15%
Home win
57.2%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
15.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.3% | 3.66 | — | — |
| Apollon Smirnis | 15.5% | 6.45 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.1% | 8.26 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.5% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.5% | 5.73 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.9% | 14.46 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
| No | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis / Draw | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Asteras Tripolis / Apollon Smirnis | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Apollon Smirnis | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.1
|
6.8
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.6
|
12.1
|
3.7
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.0
|
8.6
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.6
|
4.3
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.5
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2022
Asteras Tripolis
2-2
Apollon Smirnis
Jan 2022
Asteras Tripolis
1-0
Apollon Smirnis
Oct 2021
Apollon Smirnis
0-1
Asteras Tripolis
Jan 2021
Apollon Smirnis
0-1
Asteras Tripolis
Nov 2020
Asteras Tripolis
0-0
Apollon Smirnis
Feb 2019
Apollon Smirnis
0-2
Asteras Tripolis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.