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Saturday 10 March 2018, 19:30 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis (Athína (Athens)) Full time
60% 26% 14%
Home win
59.8%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
14.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 59.8% 1.67
Draw 25.7% 3.89
Asteras Tripolis 14.5% 6.90

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.3% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.7% 9.32
Over 1.5 67.5% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.5% 3.08
Over 2.5 40.3% 2.48
Under 2.5 59.7% 1.67
Over 3.5 20.0% 5.00
Under 3.5 80.0% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.3% 12.01
Under 4.5 91.7% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.9% 2.51
No 60.1% 1.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 85.5% 1.17
Panathinaikos / Asteras Tripolis 74.3% 1.35
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 40.2% 2.49

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.7
6.1
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
15.7
11.6
3.7
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
13.3
8.9
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
7.2
4.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.9
2.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.