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Monday 19 February 2018, 19:30 AEL Arena (Larissa) Full time
21% 31% 48%
Home win
20.7%
Draw
31.0%
Away win
48.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa 20.7% 4.82
Draw 31.0% 3.23
Panathinaikos 48.3% 2.07

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.5% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.5% 6.91
Over 1.5 59.8% 1.67
Under 1.5 40.2% 2.49
Over 2.5 32.0% 3.13
Under 2.5 68.0% 1.47
Over 3.5 14.0% 7.12
Under 3.5 86.0% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.1% 19.44
Under 4.5 94.9% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.8% 2.65
No 62.2% 1.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa / Draw 51.7% 1.93
Larisa / Panathinaikos 69.0% 1.45
Draw / Panathinaikos 79.3% 1.26

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.5
16.5
10.9
4.6
1.4
0.4
1
9.2
13.3
7.9
3.3
1.0
0.3
2
3.6
4.6
2.9
1.2
0.4
0.1
3
0.9
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Larisa goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.