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Sunday 28 January 2018, 17:15 Stadio Peristeriou (Athína (Athens)) Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
61% 26% 13%
Home win
61.4%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
12.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos 61.4% 1.63
Draw 26.0% 3.85
Larisa 12.6% 7.91

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.8% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.2% 8.21
Over 1.5 64.2% 1.56
Under 1.5 35.8% 2.79
Over 2.5 36.6% 2.73
Under 2.5 63.4% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.3% 5.79
Under 3.5 82.7% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.8% 14.68
Under 4.5 93.2% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.4% 2.82
No 64.6% 1.55

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos / Draw 87.4% 1.14
Atromitos / Larisa 74.0% 1.35
Draw / Larisa 38.6% 2.59

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.2
6.0
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
17.6
11.2
3.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.5
8.3
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
7.6
4.4
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
3.0
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: Larisa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.