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Sunday 14 January 2018, 17:15 Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis (Tripoli) Full time
59% 26% 15%
Home win
59.1%
Draw
25.6%
Away win
15.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 59.1% 1.69
Draw 25.6% 3.90
Larisa 15.2% 6.56

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.8% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.2% 9.82
Over 1.5 68.8% 1.45
Under 1.5 31.2% 3.20
Over 2.5 41.8% 2.39
Under 2.5 58.2% 1.72
Over 3.5 21.1% 4.73
Under 3.5 78.9% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.0% 11.12
Under 4.5 91.0% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.7% 2.40
No 58.3% 1.71

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 84.8% 1.18
Asteras Tripolis / Larisa 74.4% 1.34
Draw / Larisa 40.9% 2.45

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.2
6.1
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
15.0
11.8
3.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
12.8
9.1
3.2
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
7.0
5.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.9
2.0
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.9
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Larisa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.