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Sunday 10 December 2017, 15:00 Georgios Kamaras Stadium Full time
40% 31% 30%
Home win
39.7%
Draw
30.5%
Away win
29.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis 39.7% 2.52
Draw 30.5% 3.28
Asteras Tripolis 29.8% 3.36

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.2% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.8% 8.45
Over 1.5 65.4% 1.53
Under 1.5 34.6% 2.89
Over 2.5 37.8% 2.64
Under 2.5 62.2% 1.61
Over 3.5 18.1% 5.51
Under 3.5 81.9% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.3% 13.72
Under 4.5 92.7% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.1% 2.22
No 54.9% 1.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis / Draw 70.2% 1.42
Apollon Smirnis / Asteras Tripolis 69.5% 1.44
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 60.3% 1.66

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.8
10.3
5.5
1.9
0.5
0.1
1
12.5
14.1
6.7
2.2
0.6
0.1
2
8.0
8.0
4.0
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
3.2
3.2
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Apollon Smirnis goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.