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Saturday 4 November 2017, 19:30 Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium Full time
26% 30% 43%
Home win
26.5%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
43.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 26.5% 3.78
Draw 30.2% 3.31
Panathinaikos 43.3% 2.31

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.0% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.0% 8.36
Over 1.5 65.1% 1.54
Under 1.5 34.9% 2.87
Over 2.5 37.5% 2.67
Under 2.5 62.5% 1.60
Over 3.5 17.9% 5.59
Under 3.5 82.1% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.2% 13.97
Under 4.5 92.8% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.2% 2.26
No 55.8% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 56.7% 1.76
Asteras Tripolis / Panathinaikos 69.8% 1.43
Draw / Panathinaikos 73.5% 1.36

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.0
13.3
8.9
3.8
1.2
0.3
1
9.6
13.9
8.3
3.5
1.1
0.3
2
4.8
6.1
3.8
1.6
0.5
0.1
3
1.5
1.9
1.2
0.5
0.2
0.0
4
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.