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Sunday 1 October 2017, 20:30 Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium Full time
22% 28% 49%
Home win
22.4%
Draw
28.3%
Away win
49.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 22.4% 4.47
Draw 28.3% 3.54
AEK Athens FC 49.3% 2.03

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.5% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.5% 9.56
Over 1.5 68.4% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.6% 3.16
Over 2.5 41.2% 2.42
Under 2.5 58.8% 1.70
Over 3.5 20.7% 4.83
Under 3.5 79.3% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.8% 11.43
Under 4.5 91.2% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.7% 2.19
No 54.3% 1.84

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 50.7% 1.97
Asteras Tripolis / AEK Athens FC 71.7% 1.39
Draw / AEK Athens FC 77.6% 1.29

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.5
13.3
10.1
4.9
1.8
0.5
1
7.9
13.2
9.0
4.3
1.6
0.5
2
3.8
5.5
4.0
1.9
0.7
0.2
3
1.1
1.6
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
4
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.