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Sunday 10 September 2017, 18:15 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
78% 16% 5%
Home win
78.2%
Draw
16.5%
Away win
5.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 78.2% 1.28
Draw 16.5% 6.07
Larisa 5.4% 18.67

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.5% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.5% 13.27
Over 1.5 74.4% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.6% 3.91
Over 2.5 49.2% 2.03
Under 2.5 50.8% 1.97
Over 3.5 27.3% 3.66
Under 3.5 72.7% 1.38
Over 4.5 12.8% 7.79
Under 4.5 87.2% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 31.4% 3.18
No 68.6% 1.46

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 94.6% 1.06
AEK Athens FC / Larisa 83.5% 1.20
Draw / Larisa 21.8% 4.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.5
2.6
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
15.4
7.2
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
17.5
7.5
1.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
12.9
5.5
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
7.1
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
3.2
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Larisa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.