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Sunday 28 May 2017, 20:30 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
52% 28% 20%
Home win
52.3%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
19.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 52.3% 1.91
Draw 27.8% 3.59
PAOK 19.9% 5.03

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.8% 9.27
Over 1.5 67.6% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.4% 3.08
Over 2.5 40.3% 2.48
Under 2.5 59.7% 1.68
Over 3.5 20.0% 5.00
Under 3.5 80.0% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.3% 11.99
Under 4.5 91.7% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.8% 2.28
No 56.2% 1.78

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 80.1% 1.25
AEK Athens FC / PAOK 72.2% 1.39
Draw / PAOK 47.7% 2.10

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.8
7.5
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
14.2
12.9
4.9
1.3
0.3
0.0
2
11.1
9.0
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
5.5
4.5
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.0
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.