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Sunday 14 May 2017, 20:30 Toumba Stadium Full time
0–1
HT 0–1
45% 29% 26%
Home win
44.7%
Draw
29.1%
Away win
26.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 44.7% 2.24
Draw 29.1% 3.43
AEK Athens FC 26.1% 3.83

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.4% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.6% 9.40
Over 1.5 68.1% 1.47
Under 1.5 31.9% 3.13
Over 2.5 40.8% 2.45
Under 2.5 59.2% 1.69
Over 3.5 20.4% 4.90
Under 3.5 79.6% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.6% 11.67
Under 4.5 91.4% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.7% 2.14
No 53.3% 1.88

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 73.9% 1.35
PAOK / AEK Athens FC 70.9% 1.41
Draw / AEK Athens FC 55.3% 1.81

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.6
8.8
4.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
12.5
13.6
6.2
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
9.0
8.7
4.2
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
4.0
3.9
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
1.4
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.