Sunday 2 April 2017, 17:15
Toumba Stadium
Full time
73%
19%
8%
Home win
73.0%
Draw
18.9%
Away win
8.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.9% | 5.30 | — | — |
| Larisa | 8.2% | 12.26 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.4% | 13.58 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.4% | 7.48 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
| No | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK / Draw | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| PAOK / Larisa | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Larisa | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.4
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.0
|
8.7
|
2.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.3
|
8.7
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.8
|
6.1
|
1.7
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.7
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.4
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Larisa
1-1
PAOK
Aug 2025
PAOK
1-0
Larisa
Jan 2021
Larisa
1-1
PAOK
Sep 2020
PAOK
1-0
Larisa
Feb 2020
Larisa
1-2
PAOK
Nov 2019
PAOK
1-0
Larisa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.