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Sunday 12 March 2017, 19:30 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
3–0
HT 1–0
50% 28% 21%
Home win
50.3%
Draw
28.3%
Away win
21.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 50.3% 1.99
Draw 28.3% 3.54
PAOK 21.4% 4.68

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.8% 9.26
Over 1.5 67.6% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.4% 3.08
Over 2.5 40.3% 2.48
Under 2.5 59.7% 1.68
Over 3.5 20.0% 5.00
Under 3.5 80.0% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.3% 12.00
Under 4.5 91.7% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.5% 2.25
No 55.5% 1.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 78.6% 1.27
AEK Athens FC / PAOK 71.7% 1.39
Draw / PAOK 49.7% 2.01

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.8
7.8
3.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
13.8
13.1
5.3
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
10.5
8.9
3.8
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
5.1
4.3
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.8
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.