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Sunday 19 February 2017, 19:30 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
28% 30% 43%
Home win
27.6%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
42.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 27.6% 3.63
Draw 29.6% 3.38
Olympiakos Piraeus 42.9% 2.33

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.9% 9.16
Over 1.5 67.5% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.5% 3.07
Over 2.5 40.1% 2.49
Under 2.5 59.9% 1.67
Over 3.5 19.9% 5.04
Under 3.5 80.1% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.3% 12.11
Under 4.5 91.7% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.5% 2.15
No 53.5% 1.87

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 57.1% 1.75
AEK Athens FC / Olympiakos Piraeus 70.4% 1.42
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 72.4% 1.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.9
12.4
8.6
3.7
1.2
0.3
1
9.2
13.8
8.5
3.7
1.2
0.3
2
5.0
6.4
4.2
1.8
0.6
0.2
3
1.6
2.1
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.1
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.