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Sunday 5 February 2017, 15:00 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
73% 20% 8%
Home win
72.5%
Draw
19.9%
Away win
7.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 72.5% 1.38
Draw 19.9% 5.02
Veria 7.6% 13.22

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.9% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.1% 11.01
Over 1.5 70.8% 1.41
Under 1.5 29.2% 3.43
Over 2.5 44.4% 2.25
Under 2.5 55.6% 1.80
Over 3.5 23.3% 4.30
Under 3.5 76.7% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.3% 9.73
Under 4.5 89.7% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 33.5% 2.99
No 66.5% 1.50

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 92.4% 1.08
AEK Athens FC / Veria 80.1% 1.25
Draw / Veria 27.5% 3.64

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.1
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
16.4
8.7
2.0
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
16.7
8.1
1.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
11.0
5.3
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
5.4
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
2.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Veria goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.