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Saturday 16 March 2013, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
46% 33% 21%
Home win
46.4%
Draw
32.6%
Away win
21.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 46.4% 2.15
Draw 32.6% 3.07
Veria 21.0% 4.77

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 83.4% 1.20
Under 0.5 16.6% 6.04
Over 1.5 55.8% 1.79
Under 1.5 44.2% 2.26
Over 2.5 28.1% 3.56
Under 2.5 71.9% 1.39
Over 3.5 11.6% 8.63
Under 3.5 88.4% 1.13
Over 4.5 4.0% 25.19
Under 4.5 96.0% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.8% 2.88
No 65.2% 1.53

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 79.0% 1.27
AEK Athens FC / Veria 67.4% 1.48
Draw / Veria 53.6% 1.87

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
16.6
10.1
3.7
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
17.6
13.3
4.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
10.6
7.3
2.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
4.1
2.8
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
1.2
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Veria goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.