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Sunday 10 March 2013, 19:30 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
78% 16% 6%
Home win
78.4%
Draw
15.8%
Away win
5.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 78.4% 1.28
Draw 15.8% 6.31
AEK Athens FC 5.8% 17.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.6% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.4% 15.70
Over 1.5 77.6% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.4% 4.47
Over 2.5 53.5% 1.87
Under 2.5 46.5% 2.15
Over 3.5 31.3% 3.20
Under 3.5 68.7% 1.45
Over 4.5 15.5% 6.43
Under 4.5 84.5% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.5% 2.81
No 64.5% 1.55

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 94.2% 1.06
Olympiakos Piraeus / AEK Athens FC 84.2% 1.19
Draw / AEK Athens FC 21.6% 4.62

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.4
2.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
13.5
7.2
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
16.1
8.0
2.0
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
12.5
6.2
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
7.3
3.6
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
3.4
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.