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Sunday 10 February 2013, 17:15 Stadio Kerkyras Full time
30% 33% 38%
Home win
29.6%
Draw
32.9%
Away win
37.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra 29.6% 3.38
Draw 32.9% 3.04
AEK Athens FC 37.5% 2.66

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.9% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.1% 6.60
Over 1.5 58.6% 1.71
Under 1.5 41.4% 2.42
Over 2.5 30.8% 3.25
Under 2.5 69.2% 1.44
Over 3.5 13.3% 7.54
Under 3.5 86.7% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.8% 21.01
Under 4.5 95.2% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.2% 2.55
No 60.8% 1.64

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra / Draw 62.5% 1.60
AOK Kerkyra / AEK Athens FC 67.1% 1.49
Draw / AEK Athens FC 70.4% 1.42

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.1
14.2
7.9
2.7
0.7
0.2
1
12.0
14.2
7.0
2.5
0.6
0.1
2
5.8
6.0
3.2
1.1
0.3
0.1
3
1.7
1.8
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AOK Kerkyra goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.