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Saturday 5 January 2013, 17:15 Gipedo Astera Tripolis Full time
48% 31% 21%
Home win
48.1%
Draw
30.9%
Away win
20.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 48.1% 2.08
Draw 30.9% 3.23
AEK Athens FC 20.9% 4.78

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.6% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.4% 6.96
Over 1.5 60.0% 1.67
Under 1.5 40.0% 2.50
Over 2.5 32.2% 3.11
Under 2.5 67.8% 1.47
Over 3.5 14.2% 7.05
Under 3.5 85.8% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.2% 19.18
Under 4.5 94.8% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.0% 2.63
No 62.0% 1.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 79.1% 1.26
Asteras Tripolis / AEK Athens FC 69.1% 1.45
Draw / AEK Athens FC 51.9% 1.93

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.4
9.2
3.7
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
16.4
13.3
4.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
10.8
7.9
2.9
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
4.5
3.3
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.4
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.