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Saturday 1 December 2012, 17:15 SKODA Xanthi Arena Full time
28% 33% 38%
Home win
28.4%
Draw
33.2%
Away win
38.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC 28.4% 3.52
Draw 33.2% 3.01
Asteras Tripolis 38.4% 2.61

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.2% 1.19
Under 0.5 15.8% 6.34
Over 1.5 57.4% 1.74
Under 1.5 42.6% 2.35
Over 2.5 29.6% 3.38
Under 2.5 70.4% 1.42
Over 3.5 12.5% 8.00
Under 3.5 87.5% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.4% 22.75
Under 4.5 95.6% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.0% 2.63
No 62.0% 1.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC / Draw 61.6% 1.62
Xanthi FC / Asteras Tripolis 66.8% 1.50
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 71.6% 1.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.8
14.8
8.1
2.8
0.7
0.2
1
12.0
14.2
7.0
2.4
0.6
0.1
2
5.5
5.7
3.0
1.0
0.3
0.1
3
1.6
1.6
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Xanthi FC goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.