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Saturday 24 November 2012, 17:15 Stadio Peristeriou Full time
56% 30% 15%
Home win
55.6%
Draw
29.7%
Away win
14.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos 55.6% 1.80
Draw 29.7% 3.37
Xanthi FC 14.7% 6.81

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.5% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.5% 6.44
Over 1.5 57.5% 1.74
Under 1.5 42.5% 2.35
Over 2.5 29.8% 3.36
Under 2.5 70.2% 1.42
Over 3.5 12.6% 7.92
Under 3.5 87.4% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.5% 22.44
Under 4.5 95.5% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 32.3% 3.10
No 67.7% 1.48

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos / Draw 85.3% 1.17
Atromitos / Xanthi FC 70.3% 1.42
Draw / Xanthi FC 44.4% 2.25

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.5
7.6
2.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
19.4
11.8
3.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
13.5
7.5
2.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
6.1
3.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
2.0
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.