Skip to content
Sunday 4 November 2012, 17:15 Gipedo Astera Tripolis Full time
49% 31% 20%
Home win
49.0%
Draw
30.9%
Away win
20.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 49.0% 2.04
Draw 30.9% 3.24
PAS Giannina 20.1% 4.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.4% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.6% 6.86
Over 1.5 59.6% 1.68
Under 1.5 40.4% 2.47
Over 2.5 31.8% 3.15
Under 2.5 68.2% 1.47
Over 3.5 13.9% 7.19
Under 3.5 86.1% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.1% 19.70
Under 4.5 94.9% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.3% 2.68
No 62.7% 1.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 79.9% 1.25
Asteras Tripolis / PAS Giannina 69.1% 1.45
Draw / PAS Giannina 51.0% 1.96

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.6
9.1
3.5
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
16.8
13.2
4.4
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.1
7.9
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
4.7
3.3
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.5
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.