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Sunday 30 September 2012, 18:15 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
62% 25% 14%
Home win
61.7%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
13.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 61.7% 1.62
Draw 24.6% 4.06
Asteras Tripolis 13.7% 7.29

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.2% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.8% 10.16
Over 1.5 69.5% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.5% 3.28
Over 2.5 42.7% 2.34
Under 2.5 57.3% 1.74
Over 3.5 21.8% 4.58
Under 3.5 78.2% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.4% 10.63
Under 4.5 90.6% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.9% 2.45
No 59.1% 1.69

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 86.3% 1.16
Panathinaikos / Asteras Tripolis 75.4% 1.33
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 38.3% 2.61

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.8
5.6
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
15.1
11.3
3.6
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
13.5
9.1
3.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
7.7
5.2
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
3.3
2.2
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.1
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.