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Sunday 2 September 2012, 18:15 Gipedo Astera Tripolis Full time
54% 26% 19%
Home win
54.1%
Draw
26.5%
Away win
19.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 54.1% 1.85
Draw 26.5% 3.78
AOK Kerkyra 19.5% 5.14

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.7% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.3% 10.78
Over 1.5 71.1% 1.41
Under 1.5 28.9% 3.46
Over 2.5 44.5% 2.25
Under 2.5 55.5% 1.80
Over 3.5 23.3% 4.29
Under 3.5 76.7% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.3% 9.70
Under 4.5 89.7% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.7% 2.14
No 53.3% 1.88

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 80.5% 1.24
Asteras Tripolis / AOK Kerkyra 73.5% 1.36
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 45.9% 2.18

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.3
6.7
3.2
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
13.0
12.5
5.1
1.4
0.3
0.1
2
10.9
9.4
4.0
1.2
0.2
0.0
3
5.8
5.0
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
2.3
2.0
0.9
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.