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Sunday 22 April 2018, 19:00 Stadio Kerkyras (Kerkyra (Corfu)) Full time
28% 31% 41%
Home win
27.7%
Draw
30.9%
Away win
41.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra 27.7% 3.60
Draw 30.9% 3.24
Asteras Tripolis 41.4% 2.42

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.4% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.6% 7.93
Over 1.5 63.7% 1.57
Under 1.5 36.3% 2.76
Over 2.5 36.0% 2.78
Under 2.5 64.0% 1.56
Over 3.5 16.8% 5.95
Under 3.5 83.2% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.6% 15.23
Under 4.5 93.4% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.2% 2.31
No 56.8% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra / Draw 58.6% 1.71
AOK Kerkyra / Asteras Tripolis 69.1% 1.45
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 72.3% 1.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.6
13.4
8.5
3.4
1.0
0.2
1
10.2
14.1
8.0
3.2
1.0
0.2
2
5.2
6.2
3.7
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
1.6
1.9
1.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AOK Kerkyra goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.