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Sunday 4 March 2018, 15:00 Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis (Tripoli) Full time
26% 30% 44%
Home win
26.1%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
43.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 26.1% 3.83
Draw 30.1% 3.32
PAOK 43.8% 2.29

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.1% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.9% 8.42
Over 1.5 65.3% 1.53
Under 1.5 34.7% 2.88
Over 2.5 37.7% 2.65
Under 2.5 62.3% 1.61
Over 3.5 18.1% 5.54
Under 3.5 81.9% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.2% 13.81
Under 4.5 92.8% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.2% 2.26
No 55.8% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 56.2% 1.78
Asteras Tripolis / PAOK 69.9% 1.43
Draw / PAOK 73.9% 1.35

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.9
13.4
9.0
3.8
1.2
0.3
1
9.5
13.8
8.3
3.5
1.1
0.3
2
4.7
6.0
3.8
1.6
0.5
0.1
3
1.5
1.9
1.2
0.5
0.2
0.0
4
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.