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Sunday 11 February 2018, 17:15 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis (Athína (Athens)) Full time
69% 21% 10%
Home win
69.2%
Draw
21.2%
Away win
9.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 69.2% 1.45
Draw 21.2% 4.71
Asteras Tripolis 9.6% 10.43

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.2% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.8% 11.39
Over 1.5 71.8% 1.39
Under 1.5 28.2% 3.54
Over 2.5 45.5% 2.20
Under 2.5 54.5% 1.84
Over 3.5 24.2% 4.14
Under 3.5 75.8% 1.32
Over 4.5 10.8% 9.22
Under 4.5 89.2% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.8% 2.65
No 62.2% 1.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 90.4% 1.11
AEK Athens FC / Asteras Tripolis 78.8% 1.27
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 30.8% 3.25

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.8
4.2
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
15.3
9.6
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
15.3
8.7
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
9.8
5.6
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
4.7
2.7
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.8
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.