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Saturday 27 January 2018, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis (Athína (Athens)) Full time
73% 20% 6%
Home win
73.4%
Draw
20.2%
Away win
6.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 73.4% 1.36
Draw 20.2% 4.96
Lamia 6.4% 15.55

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.5% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.5% 9.49
Over 1.5 67.3% 1.49
Under 1.5 32.7% 3.05
Over 2.5 40.3% 2.48
Under 2.5 59.7% 1.67
Over 3.5 20.0% 5.01
Under 3.5 80.0% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.3% 12.03
Under 4.5 91.7% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 28.4% 3.53
No 71.6% 1.40

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 93.6% 1.07
AEK Athens FC / Lamia 79.8% 1.25
Draw / Lamia 26.6% 3.76

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.5
3.6
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
18.7
8.1
1.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
18.1
7.2
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
11.5
4.6
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
5.4
2.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Lamia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.