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Saturday 20 January 2018, 19:30 AEL Arena (Larissa) Full time
16% 27% 57%
Home win
15.7%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
57.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa 15.7% 6.39
Draw 27.0% 3.70
AEK Athens FC 57.3% 1.74

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.4% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.6% 8.60
Over 1.5 65.5% 1.53
Under 1.5 34.5% 2.90
Over 2.5 38.1% 2.63
Under 2.5 61.9% 1.61
Over 3.5 18.3% 5.46
Under 3.5 81.7% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.4% 13.54
Under 4.5 92.6% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.3% 2.55
No 60.7% 1.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa / Draw 42.7% 2.34
Larisa / AEK Athens FC 73.0% 1.37
Draw / AEK Athens FC 84.3% 1.19

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.6
16.1
12.9
6.6
2.5
0.8
1
6.7
12.1
8.7
4.5
1.7
0.5
2
2.5
3.8
3.0
1.5
0.6
0.2
3
0.6
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Larisa goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.