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Saturday 16 December 2017, 17:15 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
77% 17% 6%
Home win
77.2%
Draw
16.9%
Away win
5.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 77.2% 1.30
Draw 16.9% 5.92
Apollon Smirnis 5.9% 16.89

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.6% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.4% 13.59
Over 1.5 75.0% 1.33
Under 1.5 25.0% 4.00
Over 2.5 49.9% 2.01
Under 2.5 50.1% 1.99
Over 3.5 27.9% 3.58
Under 3.5 72.1% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.2% 7.55
Under 4.5 86.8% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 33.4% 2.99
No 66.6% 1.50

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 94.1% 1.06
AEK Athens FC / Apollon Smirnis 83.1% 1.20
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 22.8% 4.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.4
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
14.9
7.5
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
16.9
7.8
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
12.4
5.7
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
6.8
3.2
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
3.0
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.