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Sunday 5 November 2017, 19:30 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
50% 30% 20%
Home win
50.3%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
20.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 50.3% 1.99
Draw 29.6% 3.38
PAOK 20.1% 4.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.2% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.8% 7.79
Over 1.5 63.1% 1.59
Under 1.5 36.9% 2.71
Over 2.5 35.4% 2.83
Under 2.5 64.6% 1.55
Over 3.5 16.4% 6.11
Under 3.5 83.6% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.3% 15.79
Under 4.5 93.7% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.1% 2.49
No 59.9% 1.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 79.9% 1.25
AEK Athens FC / PAOK 70.4% 1.42
Draw / PAOK 49.7% 2.01

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.8
8.4
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
15.7
13.1
4.7
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
11.1
8.4
3.2
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
5.0
3.8
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.7
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.