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Monday 23 October 2017, 19:30 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
66% 24% 10%
Home win
65.8%
Draw
23.9%
Away win
10.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 65.8% 1.52
Draw 23.9% 4.18
Atromitos 10.3% 9.72

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.6% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.4% 8.76
Over 1.5 65.6% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.4% 2.91
Over 2.5 38.3% 2.61
Under 2.5 61.7% 1.62
Over 3.5 18.5% 5.41
Under 3.5 81.5% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.5% 13.36
Under 4.5 92.5% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 33.8% 2.96
No 66.2% 1.51

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 89.7% 1.11
AEK Athens FC / Atromitos 76.1% 1.31
Draw / Atromitos 34.2% 2.92

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.4
5.1
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
17.9
10.2
2.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
15.7
8.2
2.1
0.4
0.0
0.0
3
8.9
4.6
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
3.8
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.3
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.