Saturday 30 September 2017, 20:30
AEL FC Arena
Full time
19%
28%
53%
Home win
18.7%
Draw
28.5%
Away win
52.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larisa | 18.7% | 5.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| PAOK | 52.8% | 1.90 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.0% | 8.31 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.7% | 5.66 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.3% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.0% | 14.23 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.7% | 2.45 | — | — |
| No | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larisa / Draw | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Larisa / PAOK | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / PAOK | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.0
|
15.5
|
11.6
|
5.6
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
7.7
|
12.8
|
8.7
|
4.1
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
3.1
|
4.5
|
3.2
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Larisa
1-1
PAOK
Aug 2025
PAOK
1-0
Larisa
Jan 2021
Larisa
1-1
PAOK
Sep 2020
PAOK
1-0
Larisa
Feb 2020
Larisa
1-2
PAOK
Nov 2019
PAOK
1-0
Larisa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.