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Monday 11 September 2017, 19:30 Georgios Kamaras Stadium Full time
24% 29% 47%
Home win
23.6%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
47.1%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis 23.6% 4.23
Draw 29.3% 3.42
PAOK 47.1% 2.12

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.6% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.4% 8.79
Over 1.5 66.4% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.6% 2.97
Over 2.5 38.9% 2.57
Under 2.5 61.1% 1.64
Over 3.5 18.9% 5.28
Under 3.5 81.1% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.7% 12.94
Under 4.5 92.3% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.4% 2.25
No 55.6% 1.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis / Draw 52.9% 1.89
Apollon Smirnis / PAOK 70.7% 1.41
Draw / PAOK 76.4% 1.31

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.4
13.7
9.8
4.4
1.5
0.4
1
8.6
13.5
8.7
3.9
1.3
0.4
2
4.1
5.6
3.8
1.7
0.6
0.2
3
1.2
1.7
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
4
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Apollon Smirnis goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.