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Sunday 27 August 2017, 19:15 Nea Smyrni Stadium Full time
Panionios
2–0
HT 1–0
Apollon Smirnis
53% 30% 17%
Home win
52.9%
Draw
29.7%
Away win
17.3%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 52.9% 1.89 — —
Draw 29.7% 3.36 — —
Apollon Smirnis 17.3% 5.77 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.8% 1.17 — —
Under 0.5 14.2% 7.03 — —
Over 1.5 60.2% 1.66 — —
Under 1.5 39.8% 2.51 — —
Over 2.5 32.4% 3.09 — —
Under 2.5 67.6% 1.48 — —
Over 3.5 14.3% 6.98 — —
Under 3.5 85.7% 1.17 — —
Over 4.5 5.3% 18.94 — —
Under 4.5 94.7% 1.06 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.2% 2.76 — —
No 63.8% 1.57 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 82.7% 1.21 — —
Panionios / Apollon Smirnis 70.3% 1.42 — —
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 47.1% 2.13 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.2
8.1
2.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
17.5
12.6
3.9
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
12.3
8.0
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
5.5
3.6
1.2
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
1.9
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Panionios
L L L L W
Apollon Smirnis
D W W L D

Head to head

Feb 2019 Panionios 0-1 Apollon Smirnis Sep 2018 Apollon Smirnis 0-2 Panionios Jan 2018 Apollon Smirnis 1-1 Panionios Feb 2014 Apollon Smirnis 1-2 Panionios Oct 2013 Panionios 2-1 Apollon Smirnis

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.