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Saturday 22 February 2014, 17:15 Stadio Georgios Kamaras Full time
46% 28% 26%
Home win
46.0%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
26.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis 46.0% 2.17
Draw 27.6% 3.62
Panionios 26.4% 3.79

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.3% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.7% 11.47
Over 1.5 72.6% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.4% 3.65
Over 2.5 46.4% 2.16
Under 2.5 53.7% 1.86
Over 3.5 24.9% 4.02
Under 3.5 75.1% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.3% 8.88
Under 4.5 88.7% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.0% 1.96
No 49.0% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis / Draw 73.6% 1.36
Apollon Smirnis / Panionios 72.4% 1.38
Draw / Panionios 54.0% 1.85

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.7
7.7
4.4
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
11.0
13.1
6.5
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
8.7
9.1
4.8
1.7
0.4
0.1
3
4.3
4.5
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.6
1.7
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Apollon Smirnis goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.