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Saturday 9 February 2019, 17:15 Nea Smyrni Stadium Full time
63% 26% 11%
Home win
62.8%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
10.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 62.8% 1.59
Draw 26.2% 3.81
Apollon Smirnis 10.9% 9.14

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.3% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.7% 7.31
Over 1.5 60.9% 1.64
Under 1.5 39.1% 2.56
Over 2.5 33.2% 3.01
Under 2.5 66.8% 1.50
Over 3.5 14.9% 6.71
Under 3.5 85.1% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.6% 17.93
Under 4.5 94.4% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 31.1% 3.22
No 68.9% 1.45

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 89.1% 1.12
Panionios / Apollon Smirnis 73.8% 1.36
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 37.2% 2.69

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.7
5.8
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
19.6
10.5
2.4
0.4
0.0
0.0
2
15.6
7.6
1.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
8.0
3.9
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
3.1
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.