Wednesday 30 January 2019, 15:00
Nea Smyrni Stadium
Full time
45%
31%
24%
Home win
45.1%
Draw
30.7%
Away win
24.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panionios | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Asteras Tripolis | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.0% | 7.69 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.1% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.2% | 6.18 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.2% | 16.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
| No | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panionios / Draw | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Panionios / Asteras Tripolis | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Asteras Tripolis | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.0
|
9.6
|
4.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.6
|
13.8
|
5.5
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.6
|
8.2
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.0
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jun 2020
Asteras Tripolis
0-0
Panionios
Jan 2020
Asteras Tripolis
2-0
Panionios
Oct 2019
Panionios
0-1
Asteras Tripolis
May 2019
Asteras Tripolis
3-0
Panionios
Feb 2018
Panionios
0-0
Asteras Tripolis
Oct 2017
Asteras Tripolis
0-1
Panionios
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.