Skip to content
Saturday 24 February 2018, 17:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis (Athína (Athens)) Full time
50% 30% 20%
Home win
49.5%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
20.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 49.5% 2.02
Draw 30.3% 3.30
Asteras Tripolis 20.1% 4.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.1% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.9% 7.22
Over 1.5 61.0% 1.64
Under 1.5 39.0% 2.56
Over 2.5 33.2% 3.01
Under 2.5 66.8% 1.50
Over 3.5 14.9% 6.73
Under 3.5 85.1% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.6% 18.01
Under 4.5 94.4% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.4% 2.60
No 61.6% 1.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 79.9% 1.25
Panionios / Asteras Tripolis 69.7% 1.44
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 50.5% 1.98

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.9
8.8
3.5
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
16.3
13.2
4.5
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.1
8.1
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
4.8
3.5
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.6
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.