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Sunday 20 January 2019, 19:30 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
69% 22% 9%
Home win
69.3%
Draw
22.1%
Away win
8.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 69.3% 1.44
Draw 22.1% 4.52
Asteras Tripolis 8.5% 11.73

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.8% 9.29
Over 1.5 67.0% 1.49
Under 1.5 33.0% 3.03
Over 2.5 39.8% 2.51
Under 2.5 60.2% 1.66
Over 3.5 19.6% 5.09
Under 3.5 80.4% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.1% 12.30
Under 4.5 91.9% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 32.1% 3.11
No 67.9% 1.47

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 91.5% 1.09
AEK Athens FC / Asteras Tripolis 77.9% 1.28
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 30.7% 3.26

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.8
4.3
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
17.9
9.3
2.1
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
16.7
7.9
1.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
10.0
4.8
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
4.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.6
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.