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Saturday 8 December 2018, 19:30 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
76% 19% 5%
Home win
76.2%
Draw
18.9%
Away win
4.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 76.2% 1.31
Draw 18.9% 5.30
Lamia 4.9% 20.37

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.8% 9.22
Over 1.5 66.3% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.7% 2.97
Over 2.5 39.3% 2.55
Under 2.5 60.7% 1.65
Over 3.5 19.2% 5.20
Under 3.5 80.8% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.9% 12.66
Under 4.5 92.1% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 24.0% 4.16
No 76.0% 1.32

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 95.1% 1.05
AEK Athens FC / Lamia 81.1% 1.23
Draw / Lamia 23.8% 4.20

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.8
3.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
19.8
6.9
1.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
19.6
6.3
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
3
12.6
4.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
6.1
2.0
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
2.4
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Lamia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.