Sunday 28 October 2018, 19:30
Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium
Full time
58%
28%
13%
Home win
58.4%
Draw
28.4%
Away win
13.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 13.2% | 7.57 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.1% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.9% | 6.73 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 31.0% | 3.23 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.4% | 7.46 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.8% | 20.71 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.2% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 31.9% | 3.14 | — | — |
| No | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC / Draw | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| AEK Athens FC / Aris Thessalonikis | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Aris Thessalonikis | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.9
|
6.9
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
19.5
|
11.4
|
2.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.3
|
7.6
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.8
|
3.6
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Aris Thessalonikis
1-1
AEK Athens FC
Nov 2025
AEK Athens FC
1-0
Aris Thessalonikis
Mar 2025
Aris Thessalonikis
0-0
AEK Athens FC
Nov 2024
AEK Athens FC
4-0
Aris Thessalonikis
Apr 2024
Aris Thessalonikis
1-2
AEK Athens FC
Apr 2024
AEK Athens FC
2-0
Aris Thessalonikis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.