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Sunday 21 October 2018, 19:00 Kleanthis Vikelides Full time
32% 35% 33%
Home win
32.2%
Draw
34.6%
Away win
33.2%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 32.2% 3.11
Draw 34.6% 2.89
PAOK 33.2% 3.01

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 82.5% 1.21
Under 0.5 17.5% 5.70
Over 1.5 54.1% 1.85
Under 1.5 45.9% 2.18
Over 2.5 26.6% 3.76
Under 2.5 73.4% 1.36
Over 3.5 10.7% 9.37
Under 3.5 89.3% 1.12
Over 4.5 3.6% 28.15
Under 4.5 96.4% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.7% 2.80
No 64.3% 1.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 66.8% 1.50
Aris Thessalonikis / PAOK 65.4% 1.53
Draw / PAOK 67.8% 1.47

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.5
14.3
6.8
2.1
0.5
0.1
1
14.0
14.2
6.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
6.5
5.9
2.7
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
1.9
1.7
0.8
0.2
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.