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Saturday 22 September 2018, 20:30 Zosimades National Stadium Full time
22% 30% 48%
Home win
21.5%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
48.2%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina 21.5% 4.64
Draw 30.3% 3.30
Aris Thessalonikis 48.2% 2.08

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.7% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.3% 7.53
Over 1.5 62.2% 1.61
Under 1.5 37.8% 2.65
Over 2.5 34.4% 2.90
Under 2.5 65.6% 1.53
Over 3.5 15.7% 6.36
Under 3.5 84.3% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.0% 16.69
Under 4.5 94.0% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.1% 2.50
No 59.9% 1.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina / Draw 51.8% 1.93
PAS Giannina / Aris Thessalonikis 69.7% 1.43
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 78.5% 1.27

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.3
15.5
10.6
4.6
1.5
0.4
1
9.0
13.4
8.2
3.6
1.2
0.3
2
3.8
4.9
3.2
1.4
0.5
0.1
3
1.0
1.3
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAS Giannina goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.