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Sunday 2 September 2018, 19:15 Kaftanzoglio Stadio Full time
78% 16% 6%
Home win
78.2%
Draw
15.6%
Away win
6.2%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 78.2% 1.28
Draw 15.6% 6.41
Larisa 6.2% 16.21

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.3% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.7% 17.49
Over 1.5 79.5% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.5% 4.89
Over 2.5 56.2% 1.78
Under 2.5 43.8% 2.29
Over 3.5 33.9% 2.95
Under 3.5 66.1% 1.51
Over 4.5 17.4% 5.74
Under 4.5 82.6% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.4% 2.60
No 61.6% 1.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 93.8% 1.07
Aris Thessalonikis / Larisa 84.4% 1.18
Draw / Larisa 21.8% 4.59

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.7
2.5
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
12.3
7.3
1.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
15.2
8.2
2.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
12.1
6.6
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
7.3
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
3.5
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Larisa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.