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Sunday 30 March 2014, 20:30 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
92% 7% 2%
Home win
91.6%
Draw
6.7%
Away win
1.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 91.6% 1.09
Draw 6.7% 15.01
Aris Thessalonikis 1.7% 58.31

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.6% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.4% 42.41
Over 1.5 89.7% 1.12
Under 1.5 10.3% 9.66
Over 2.5 73.5% 1.36
Under 2.5 26.5% 3.78
Over 3.5 53.1% 1.88
Under 3.5 46.9% 2.13
Over 4.5 33.7% 2.97
Under 4.5 66.3% 1.51

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 31.8% 3.15
No 68.2% 1.47

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 98.3% 1.02
Olympiakos Piraeus / Aris Thessalonikis 93.3% 1.07
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 8.4% 11.93

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.4
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
7.3
3.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
12.8
5.1
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
3
14.7
5.8
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
12.6
5.0
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
8.6
3.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.